Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.020538 0.022104 0.023733 0.025554 0.027536 0.029629 0.032009
2025-12-21 0.017955 0.020210 0.022677 0.025582 0.028917 0.032636 0.037107
2025-12-28 0.016150 0.018786 0.021780 0.025442 0.029821 0.034908 0.041297
2026-01-04 0.014867 0.017758 0.021140 0.025411 0.030688 0.037034 0.045299
2026-01-11 0.013907 0.016991 0.020694 0.025497 0.031606 0.039176 0.049356
2026-01-18 0.013085 0.016307 0.020264 0.025521 0.032383 0.041117 0.053208
2026-01-25 0.012439 0.015784 0.019977 0.025672 0.033283 0.043215 0.057342
2026-02-01 0.011708 0.015095 0.019421 0.025411 0.033590 0.044507 0.060419
2026-02-08 0.010998 0.014388 0.018788 0.024993 0.033632 0.045404 0.062960
2026-02-15 0.010450 0.013860 0.018358 0.024809 0.033961 0.046685 0.066082
2026-02-22 0.009925 0.013332 0.017893 0.024541 0.034137 0.047734 0.068899
2026-03-01 0.009474 0.012881 0.017507 0.024352 0.034402 0.048901 0.071932
2026-03-08 0.009015 0.012412 0.017092 0.024129 0.034643 0.050105 0.075196
2026-03-15 0.008673 0.012094 0.016878 0.024186 0.035304 0.051976 0.079631
2026-03-22 0.008304 0.011717 0.016555 0.024059 0.035670 0.053405 0.083443
2026-03-29 0.007992 0.011406 0.016310 0.024030 0.036174 0.055060 0.087712
2026-04-05 0.007733 0.011160 0.016147 0.024111 0.036844 0.057002 0.092569
2026-04-12 0.007477 0.010905 0.015956 0.024134 0.037413 0.058800 0.097286
2026-04-19 0.007268 0.010711 0.015847 0.024275 0.038174 0.060944 0.102736
2026-04-26 0.006978 0.010380 0.015510 0.024031 0.038280 0.061988 0.106286
2026-05-03 0.006671 0.010009 0.015094 0.023639 0.038112 0.062547 0.108980
2026-05-10 0.006433 0.009737 0.014822 0.023466 0.038303 0.063725 0.112881
2026-05-17 0.006191 0.009449 0.014512 0.023214 0.038340 0.064628 0.116311